Elon Musk Says AI Will Be Smarter Than Humans by 2025

Earlier this week, Tesla CEO Elon Musk forecasted that by 2025 or 2026, artificial intelligence would have gotten smarter than humans. In an extensive interview on X spaces, the billionaire told Nicolai Tangen of Norway Wealth Fund that artificial intelligence was constrained by electricity’s limited availability.

Musk then revealed that by next month, the new version of Grok would be trained. Grok is an artificial intelligence chatbot designed by Musk’s xAI start-up. He founded xAI in 2023 as a challenger to OpenAI, which he’s taken to court for casting aside its original mission to develop artificial intelligence for humanity’s benefit instead of profit.

Musk, who served as an initial board member in OpenAI, noted that a shortage of advanced chips was impeding the training of Grok’s latest model. OpenAI, an artificial intelligence research organization, has denied the billionaire’s allegations.

The Grok 2 model needed about 20,000 H100 graphic processing units from Nvidia to fully function, with Musk noting that the latest model and any other moving forward would need 100,000 of the same chips to function. The billionaire then observed that while a chip shortage was a big limitation on artificial intelligence development currently, the supply of electricity would be pivotal in the next year or two.

When asked about the timeline for artificial general intelligence (AGI) development, Musk theorized that in a year or two, AGI would be smarter than the smartest person. With regard to electric vehicles, Musk claimed that auto manufacturers in China were the most competitive globally. He added that Chinese auto manufacturers also posed the toughest competitive challenge to his company.

Musk has, in the past, warned that Chinese competitors will destroy their rivals globally without trade barriers. Thus far, competition from Chinese players has led Tesla to scrap its plan to begin manufacturing low-cost family cars. This inexpensive car, which investors hoped would drive Tesla’s growth into a mass-market manufacturer of electric vehicles, had been in the works since the company’s inception. In 2006, Musk had highlighted in his initial master plan that Tesla would enter the market manufacturing luxury models first then use its profits to fund development of a low-cost vehicle.

During the recent interview, the billionaire also discussed a strike against Tesla in Sweden, noting that he believed the storm had passed on that front. Tangen revealed that the sovereign wealth fund, which holds a good chunk of Tesla shares, had met with Musk in March and gotten an update on the situation.

As enterprises such as Intel Corp. (NASDAQ: INTC) scale up their manufacturing of the hardware needed to power the AI revolution, Elon Musk’s prediction that AI will outsmart humans less than two years from now could become a reality.

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